After touchdown his 11/1 greatest guess treble final weekend, our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of is again to offer his perception on each Premier League recreation.
West Ham vs Chelsea, Saturday 12.30pm
Do not be fooled by Chelsea’s document of profitable their final 4 Premier League away video games, the place they’ve scored 12 objectives. This group are nonetheless miles away from being thought of a top-four contender based mostly on the underlying numbers behind these performances – particularly the 2 wins this season at Wolves and Bournemouth.
The mixture rating could learn 7-2 to Chelsea throughout these video games however the anticipated objectives numbers painted an image of two.51-3.74 – an enormous overperformance and one which makes their worth for an away win at Evens with Sky Guess look ripe for taking up.
West Ham have greater than sufficient about them throughout their frontline to begin punishing this Chelsea defence for the high-quality probabilities they’re providing up. Residence win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Aston Villa vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
After what we noticed final weekend within the Premier League with the excessive card counts this fixture has the potential to observe go well with. It is a notoriously card-heavy recreation involving two golf equipment that do not like each other a lot in what’s a growing derby.
Throughout the final eight fixtures between the 2, the per-game bookings factors common is available in at a whopping 67 factors.
That instantly makes the Evens on supply with Sky Guess for 60 or extra bookings factors (10 for a yellow, 25 for a purple) a runner, particularly when Villa have drawn 15 yellows of their final 4 matches throughout all competitions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Fulham vs Newcastle, Saturday 3pm
Fulham have a wretched document in opposition to Newcastle, dropping the final six conferences whereas having a participant despatched off in three of the final seven. They’ve additionally scored simply twice in these seven earlier clashes, blanking on 5 events.
I would be stunned in the event that they failed to attain once more, although, based mostly on Newcastle’s defensive output this season.
Sure, Eddie Howe’s males are unbeaten having taken 10 factors from a potential 12, however they’ve confronted a median of 1.63 of anticipated objectives in opposition to per 90 together with averaging 16.5 pictures confronted per 90. Solely two groups have confronted extra pictures – and the Toon have had a considerably form opening set of fixtures.
Popping out on prime when the margins are wonderful in matches is not a sustainable approach of choosing up factors so I would count on some regression with their outcomes earlier than too lengthy.
It may come right here, the place Fulham are a tempting 9/5 with Sky Guess for victory.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Leicester vs Everton, Saturday 3pm
Leicester stay a group I am eager on opposing regardless of optimistic outcomes in opposition to Tottenham and Crystal Palace.
They’ve misplaced the anticipated objectives battle, shot depend and nook race in all 4 of their Premier League video games. Their underlying metrics have been dismal.
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Leicester supervisor Steve Cooper explains why his membership have sought clarification over the VAR resolution to permit a Crystal Palace objective final Saturday – a choice he describes as an ‘terrible human error’.
If Everton cannot get a outcome right here then Sean Dyche can have some large inquiries to reply.
Nevertheless, if his group assault like they’ve completed within the final two matches, they need to win this match – and look a guess with the chances on supply.
They’ve created seven huge probabilities throughout their final two video games to a wholesome anticipated objectives determine of two.10. The dynamic of Iliman Ndiaye, Dwight McNeil and Dominic Calvert-Lewin appeared fairly thrilling in ahead areas in opposition to Bournemouth and Aston Villa.
They need to show too sizzling for Leicester to deal with, with the away win at 8/5 with Sky Guess trying very beneficiant.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Everton to beat Leicester (8/5 with Sky Guess – a part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
Liverpool vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Andoni Iraola goes locations as a supervisor however backing this Bournemouth group to beat a top-six aspect has change into an costly pastime.
They’ve now didn’t win any of 12 Premier League video games vs final season’s top-six – profitable simply two factors from a potential 36. They may head to Anfield as energetic outsiders and make life fiddly for Arne Slot’s males however they’re not possible to fancy to get a outcome – even when the 8/1 for an away win sounds juicy.
Discovering a solution to get Liverpool onside is hard at such prohibitive odds, however including Dominik Szoboszlai to attain into the combination is an attention-grabbing tactic at 9/2 with Sky Guess.
He netted his first objective of the season in midweek vs AC Milan and was genuinely excellent along with his all-around recreation in becoming a member of the entrance three. He is had 10 pictures in 5 video games below Slot and I am anticipating his objective output to extend this season.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Southampton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
If the Southampton that performed the ultimate 60 minutes in opposition to Manchester United flip up, making a case for them to win at 6/5 with Sky Guess goes to be a tricky ask for individuals who nonetheless think about Russel Martin. It is a huge one for him.
Hope may spring everlasting for Saints within the type of Tyler Dibling, whose first-half efficiency in opposition to United was vastly eye-catching.
What obtained my punting juices flowing concerning his attacking output was the way in which he moved and drew fouls like Jack Grealish. He gained 4 fouls in 63 minutes of motion along with his reverse quantity Diogo Dalot racking up a complete foul depend of 4.
That’s an thrilling angle that we must be able to exploiting within the fouls markets, with opposition left-back for Ipswich Leif Davis in focus right here. He is made at the least one foul in his final seven begins for Ipswich and is 6/4 with Sky Guess to make two or extra on this one.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brentford are precisely the kind of opposition Ange Postecoglou would not want proper now.
Should you had been cooking up a recipe for a group to hassle Tottenham on the minute, Brentford have the right components in that the house crowd will count on a win and the Bees are a superb low-block defensive group who’re a large menace from set-pieces.
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Highlights of the Carabao Cup third spherical tie between Coventry Metropolis and Tottenham Hotspur.
Spurs have now conceded 13 objectives from corners this calendar yr and Brentford are extremely artistic and harmful from such conditions having created the second highest quantity of anticipated objectives (15.4) from set-pieces within the Premier League final season.
This has all of the hallmarks of a nervy, irritating type of fixture for Spurs if they do not rating early and I am very eager on taking up objectives on the costs.
The market has this recreation producing 3.2 objectives which seems excessive based mostly on Tottenham’s issues creating high quality possibilities of late. I would fortunately swim in opposition to the objectives tide with the below 3.5 line at 4/6 with Sky Guess trying good.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Beneath 3.5 objectives (8/11 with Sky Guess – a part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
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Talking on the Kiyan Prince Basis golf day, former Tottenham supervisor Harry Redknapp backs Ange Postecoglou to succeed on the membership however admits he has put himself below strain along with his feedback about profitable trophies in his second season.
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Who would you somewhat have accountable for your membership: Oliver Glasner or Erik ten Hag?
Should you stated Oliver Glasner, congratulations.
It is onerous to get Crystal Palace’s 4-0 battering of United final season out of my pondering when assessing this recreation as Glasner’s soccer bewildered and perplexed United, who had been admittedly with out some huge hitters.
Saturday twenty first September 5:00pm
Kick off 5:30pm
Regardless of United delivering for us final week at Southampton, it is onerous to be too enthusiastic on their probabilities when priced up as 13/10 favourites with Sky Guess. The primary half exhibiting was – once more – alarming.
As soon as they obtained the opening objective there was solely going to be one winner however that is extra to do with how Southampton folded than Ten Hag’s group getting right into a groove. The jury remains to be out on whether or not this group is transferring ahead and I am glad to aspect with Glasner to showcase his tactical nous over his counterpart.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brighton’s offside line below Fabian Hurzeler fascinates me. It is a defence that has caught 31 gamers offsides in six video games, leading to a per recreation common of 5.1, with Wolves caught offside 9 occasions in midweek.
It is such a brave, aggressive solution to play but when opposition groups get the ultimate move proper it does depart Brighton open to conceding high-quality probabilities on their objective.
Because of this I am glad to mix an offsides and a Forest objectives play by means of the Construct A Guess perform on Sky Guess. You may get 6/4 with Sky Guess on each groups scoring and Forest being caught offside three or extra occasions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester Metropolis vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Arsenal’s worth for the win to nil has been seducing me all week ever since I clapped eyes on it.
That 13/2 with Sky Guess is simply too huge to move up.
It is a group which have gained 10 of their 11 Premier League video games away from house in 2024, conceding simply three objectives alongside the way in which. A group with such energy, organisation and sophistication who’re rated with only a 22 per cent probability of victory to win a soccer match appears unsuitable – even in opposition to a juggernaut like Manchester Metropolis.
Sunday twenty second September 4:00pm
Kick off 4:30pm
A juggernaut, albeit, that’s regressing, particularly in defence as groups can expose them on the counter-attack. Brentford and Inter Milan have confirmed us this in latest days nevertheless it’s been occurring for some time and was the explanation why Actual Madrid knocked them out of the Champions League final marketing campaign.
Brentford countered with such ease final Saturday particularly within the first half, once they may have been 3-0 up. Metropolis conceded 5 or extra pictures on the right track for simply the second time in a house recreation below Pep Guardiola and Brentford even gained the possession battle earlier than the break.
After which Inter had 10 pictures within the first half in midweek as they discovered it very straightforward to interrupt by means of on the Metropolis backline through some intelligent passing and driving runs. They grew to become the primary opposing aspect to have 10 or extra pictures within the first half of a Champions League recreation on the Etihad since Monaco in February 2017.
Arsenal are ruthless sufficient at each ends of the pitch to take benefit and the Evens on supply for them to keep away from defeat is the worth name, as is the 13/2 win to nil worth.
Assertion victory, ahoy.
